Social Security should be taken off the table
Paul Krugman writes for The New York Times.
Social Security turned 75 last week. It should have been a joyous occasion, a time to celebrate a program that has brought dignity and decency to the lives of older Americans.
But the program is under attack, with some Democrats as well as nearly all Republicans joining the assault. Rumor has it that President Barack Obama’s deficit commission may call for deep benefit cuts, in particular a sharp rise in the retirement age. Social Security’s attackers claim that they’re concerned about the program’s financial future. But their math doesn’t add up, and their hostility isn’t really about dollars and cents. Instead, it’s about ideology and posturing. And underneath it all is ignorance of or indifference to the realities of life for many Americans.
About that math: Legally, Social Security has its own, dedicated funding, via the payroll tax (“FICA” on your pay statement). But it’s also part of the broader federal budget. This dual accounting means that there are two ways Social Security could face financial problems. First, that dedicated funding could prove inadequate, forcing the program either to cut benefits or to turn to Congress for aid. Second, Social Security costs could prove unsupportable for the federal budget as a whole. But neither of these potential problems is a clear and present danger.
Social Security has been running surpluses for the past quarter-century, banking those surpluses in a special account, the so-called trust fund. The program won’t have to turn to Congress for help or cut benefits until or unless the trust fund is exhausted, which the program’s actuaries don’t expect to happen until 2037 — and there’s a significant chance, according to their estimates, that that day will never come. Meanwhile, an aging population will eventually (over the course of the next 20 years) cause the cost of paying Social Security benefits to rise from its current 4.8 percent of gross domestic product to about 6 percent of GDP. To give you some perspective, that’s a significantly smaller increase than the rise in defense spending since 2001, which Washington certainly didn’t consider a crisis, or even a reason to rethink some of the Bush tax cuts.
So where do claims of crisis come from?
To a large extent they rely on bad-faith accounting. In particular, they rely on an exercise in three-card monte in which the surpluses Social Security has been running for a quarter-century don’t count — because hey, the program doesn’t have any independent existence; it’s just part of the general federal budget — while future Social Security deficits are unacceptable — because hey, the program has to stand on its own. And having invented a crisis, what do Social Security’s attackers want to do? They don’t propose cutting benefits to current retirees; invariably the plan is, instead, to cut benefits many years in the future. So think about it this way: In order to avoid the possibility of future benefit cuts, we must cut future benefits. OK.
What’s really going on here? Conservatives hate Social Security for ideological reasons: its success undermines their claim that government is always the problem, never the solution. But they receive crucial support from Washington insiders, for whom a declared willingness to cut Social Security has long served as a badge of fiscal seriousness, never mind the arithmetic. And neither wing of the anti-Social-Security coalition seems to know or care about the hardship its favorite proposals would cause. The currently fashionable idea of raising the retirement age even more than it will rise under existing law — it has already gone from 65 to 66, it’s scheduled to rise to 67, but now some are proposing that it go to 70 — is usually justified with assertions that life expectancy has risen, so people can easily work later into life. But that’s true only for affluent, white-collar workers — the people who need Social Security least. I’m not just talking about the fact that it’s a lot easier to imagine working until you’re 70 if you have a comfortable office job than if you’re engaged in manual labor.
America is becoming an increasingly unequal society — and the growing disparities extend to matters of life and death. Life expectancy at age 65 has risen a lot at the top of the income distribution, but much less for lower-income workers. And remember, the retirement age is already scheduled to rise under current law. So let’s beat back this unnecessary, unfair and — let’s not mince words — cruel attack on working Americans. Big cuts in Social Security should not be on the table.
(Comment: Bless Paul Krugman for laying out the truth of the matter – - that Social Security is not out of money, is not in dire jeopardy of running out of money any time soon. . . . and in fact, should never face this prospect with just a modicum of intelligent planning and supervision. (so many people under age 50 believe they will never have these benefits when they in turn need them and this kind of thinking reduces confidence in government and even hope for themselves.)
I have heard this idle chatter for many years and it always finds its origins in the “starve the beast” crowd. Anything goes in order to shrink government so that our taxes can then shrink as well so that those who have can have “more”. Frankly, its been working pretty well (beginning with President Reagan). . . until hearing the hopeful message of Barack Obama on the campaign trail. For the first time in decades, here was a man who understood the ordinary struggle of our masses who are not by and large playing on a level field in that effort to achieve their dreams and goals. Just look at the sorry state we are in now. With unemployment rising, jobs picture bleak; income down or stagnant; costs of everything rising including food, especially – healthy food. . . . How on earth does this fit in with the corporate picture of rising incomes (net)? Just one way folks – - cheap, overseas labor of $0.20 an hour is hard to beat!. . . . . . . being a debtor nation to CHINA who has all this cheap labor puts us in an untenable situation. And yet, we keep borrowing.
They say we have this war thing going on. I say “let’s get real, and grow up. Just stop it!”. . . we can’t afford it. Sure would solve this borrowing thing.
As to our SOLVENT Social Security, let’s keep it that way – straighten out our way of doing the accounting thing – its not so hard to do. I happen to know a few accountants who could help you. There are a few places in the scheme of things which could go a long way toward ensuring that Social Security remains that and not a romanticized “wish list”.
It was designed to keep retired people from having to scrounge on the streets once their”productive” lives of earning an income was over. Never meant to be a fountain of youth or guaranteeing octogenarian sexual satisfaction, or living in the lap of luxury. Since the majority of financial abuses and the greatest outlay of resources occurs in that final chapter in the last year or two of life – - this is where the focus must rest if sanity is to be ruling the way we do things. With this in mind:
- How about mandatory training for physicians in ethical and compassionate care. There are guidelines now but not being addressed in counseling terminally ill people. Help them die with dignity amid pleasant surroundings. There should never be one possible treatment after another – it is so wrong! It is costly, futile and cruel.
- Retirement age should not be raised. I brought my mom to live with me 18 years before she died. Most people will not do that, especially, sons because of the responsibility which they already shoulder. Independence is highly prized and should be encouraged where-ever possible as “nursing home” life is so lacking. Care in one’s home is preferable and much cheaper.
- There should be some form of “means testing” with regard to WHO receives “Medicare” The wealthiest individuals do not NEED to accept this service from government – - they are well positioned to do this for themselves. This would save a bundle, I’m sure.
- Finally, health-care treatment should not be dictated by the Federal government or the FDA or the AMA, but chosen at will by the individual. Whatever works for him/her is permitted. Integrated and Alternative medicine is far more preferred by so many of us. Pharmaceuticals and/or surgery is definitely “last resort.” We are now living in an age when “Energy Healing” of every description is moving in, big time and people are getting dramatic results without drugs and surgery and for so little c0st. It’s time to use OPEN EYES to really look at this picture. And let people have CHOICE.
- President Obama was on the right track when he was speaking of results- oriented rather than procedure oriented. Don’t know what all he had in mind, but I like it.
Sorry my friends, you know by now how long winded I can be. . . . . Jan)